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DINO or PBF or PSX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) vs. PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) vs. Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO), PBF Energy Inc. (PBF), and Phillips 66 (PSX) are all midstream and downstream energy companies focused on refining and marketing petroleum products.
- Recent market activity shows strong second-quarter 2026 earnings across the group, supported by favorable refining margins and operational improvements.
- Relative performance in recent weeks reflects sector tailwinds from crude oil dynamics and product demand, with varying degrees of stock price momentum.
- Business models differ in scale and diversification, with Phillips 66 (PSX) offering broader geographic exposure and integrated operations compared to the more focused refining profiles of the others.
- Valuation sensitivity to refining crack spreads and crude differentials remains a shared risk factor, influencing sentiment shifts observed in recent trading sessions.
- Market positioning highlights trade-offs between growth-oriented smaller refiners and larger, more stable integrated players amid ongoing energy transition considerations.
Introduction
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO), PBF Energy Inc. (PBF), and Phillips 66 (PSX) represent key players in the U.S. refining and marketing segment of the energy sector. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and relative positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating opportunities within oil and gas downstream activities. The analysis draws on verifiable financial metrics and market developments from recent weeks, providing a neutral framework for understanding how these stocks have responded to commodity price movements, earnings releases, and corporate announcements. This overview is particularly relevant for those monitoring refining margins, dividend policies, and sector-specific catalysts.
DINO Overview and Recent Performance
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) operates as an independent energy company with refining, lubricants, and specialties segments. In recent market activity, the stock has reflected broader refining sector strength, driven by solid second-quarter 2026 results that highlighted improved adjusted EBITDA and refinery gross margins. Corporate developments, including plans to pursue separation of the Lubricants & Specialties segment and retirement of certain Canadian assets, have shaped sentiment. These strategic moves aim to streamline operations and focus on core refining activities, contributing to investor attention in recent weeks amid favorable product demand dynamics.
PBF Overview and Recent Performance
PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) is an independent petroleum refiner supplying transportation fuels and petrochemical feedstocks across multiple U.S. regions. Recent performance has been influenced by robust second-quarter 2026 earnings, featuring substantial net income growth and operational cash flow improvements. Debt reduction initiatives and a declared quarterly dividend have supported market positioning. Refining throughput targets and margin expansion have been key drivers of sentiment shifts, with the stock exhibiting volatility aligned with industry crack spreads during recent trading periods.
PSX Overview and Recent Performance
Phillips 66 (PSX) is an integrated energy company with refining, marketing, and midstream operations. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience supported by an additional share repurchase authorization and consistent dividend payments. Second-quarter developments and broader sector gains have contributed to relative stability compared to pure-play refiners. Geographic diversification and ongoing capital return programs have influenced investor perception, with price movements reflecting both macroeconomic factors and company-specific catalysts in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) and PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) maintain narrower refining-focused models with higher sensitivity to regional crack spreads, while Phillips 66 (PSX) benefits from integrated midstream and marketing operations that provide greater earnings stability. Growth drivers for the smaller refiners center on operational efficiency and margin expansion, whereas Phillips 66 (PSX) emphasizes capital returns through buybacks. Recent momentum has favored names with strong quarterly throughput and debt metrics, though all three exhibit valuation sensitivity to crude oil differentials. Risk factors include refining utilization rates and regulatory shifts, with market sentiment reflecting sector-wide optimism tempered by commodity volatility. Trade-offs emerge between higher-beta opportunities in DINO and PBF versus the defensive positioning of the larger PSX entity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent earnings, balance sheet stability, and relative positioning within the refining sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a probabilistic preference toward Phillips 66 (PSX). Its scale, share repurchase activity, and diversified revenue streams suggest more consistent performance potential amid fluctuating refining environments, though outcomes remain subject to broader market and commodity developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DINO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePBF’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and PSX’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- DINO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PBF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PSX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DINO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PBF’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and PSX’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DINO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PBF’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PSX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DINO (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -11.00% price change this week, while PBF (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was -14.62% , and PSX (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price fluctuated -3.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -8.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.26%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
DINO is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
PBF is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
PSX is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-8.60% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| DINO | PBF | PSX | |
| Capitalization | 14.5B | 7.32B | 81.4B |
| EBITDA | 3.59B | 2.66B | 9.2B |
| Gain YTD | 83.029 | 129.134 | 61.744 |
| P/E Ratio | 7.76 | 5.41 | 11.64 |
| Revenue | 31.2B | 34.4B | 134B |
| Total Cash | 2.26B | 894M | 5.15B |
| Total Debt | 3.24B | 2.52B | 27.1B |
DINO | PBF | PSX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 82 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 33 Fair valued | 13 Undervalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 44 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 41 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 35 | 6 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 95 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PBF's Valuation (13) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DINO (33) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PSX (50) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PBF's stock grew similarly to DINO’s and somewhat faster than PSX’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DINO (30) in the null industry, and is in the same range as PBF (44) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PSX's stock grew similarly to DINO’s and similarly to PBF’s over the last 12 months.
PBF's SMR Rating (41) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as DINO (47) in the null industry, and is in the same range as PSX (59) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PBF's stock grew similarly to DINO’s and similarly to PSX’s over the last 12 months.
PSX's Price Growth Rating (6) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PBF (35) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry, and is in the same range as DINO (37) in the null industry. This means that PSX's stock grew similarly to PBF’s and similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
PBF's P/E Growth Rating (95) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PSX (97) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry, and is in the same range as DINO (98) in the null industry. This means that PBF's stock grew similarly to PSX’s and similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
| DINO | PBF | PSX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 83% | 9 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 66% |
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DINO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DINO has been closely correlated with MPC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DINO jumps, then MPC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DINO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DINO | 100% | -0.07% | ||
| MPC - DINO | 79% Closely correlated | +0.50% | ||
| VLO - DINO | 78% Closely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| PSX - DINO | 76% Closely correlated | +1.47% | ||
| PBF - DINO | 75% Closely correlated | +0.11% | ||
| DK - DINO | 75% Closely correlated | -1.77% | ||
More | ||||
PBF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBF has been closely correlated with DINO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PBF jumps, then DINO could also see price increases.
PSX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PSX has been closely correlated with MPC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PSX jumps, then MPC could also see price increases.